Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.172056 0.190110 0.208573 0.228826 0.250373 0.272572 0.297129
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.149459 0.174798 0.201669 0.232143 0.265600 0.301077 0.341401
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.130451 0.160637 0.193699 0.232291 0.275795 0.323027 0.377887
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.118331 0.152593 0.191205 0.237405 0.290649 0.349584 0.419241
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.106176 0.143209 0.186099 0.238622 0.300393 0.369965 0.453473
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.095511 0.134545 0.180948 0.239012 0.308576 0.388162 0.485000
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.085558 0.125842 0.174971 0.237734 0.314251 0.403067 0.512495
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.078379 0.119992 0.171941 0.239551 0.323254 0.421641 0.544167
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.074167 0.117595 0.172918 0.246063 0.337790 0.446738 0.583612
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.068082 0.112197 0.169647 0.246897 0.345096 0.463004 0.612486
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.063998 0.109196 0.169221 0.251132 0.356483 0.484157 0.647267
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.059809 0.105715 0.167890 0.253982 0.365983 0.502937 0.679198
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.054614 0.100558 0.164201 0.253783 0.371812 0.517566 0.706663
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050411 0.096542 0.161825 0.255133 0.379517 0.534504 0.737047
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.045807 0.091553 0.157790 0.254002 0.383826 0.547094 0.762049
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043349 0.089707 0.158080 0.258670 0.395699 0.569268 0.799095
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.040008 0.086180 0.155724 0.259512 0.402396 0.584814 0.827873
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036767 0.082550 0.153000 0.259661 0.408045 0.598960 0.854899
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.033386 0.078394 0.149251 0.258156 0.411312 0.609942 0.877887
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.031086 0.075920 0.147910 0.259987 0.419050 0.626718 0.908309
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.030091 0.075699 0.150018 0.266815 0.433684 0.652595 0.950539
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.027860 0.073025 0.148124 0.267665 0.439984 0.667505 0.978704
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.026537 0.071946 0.148695 0.272119 0.451302 0.689085 1.015587